Turkey: Unfavorable weather forecast for the central, southern and northeastern regions on June 14


Event

Thunderstorms are expected in parts of central, southern and northeastern Turkey on June 14. Thunderstorms will likely be accompanied by heavy downpours, strong gusts of wind, lightning and possible hailstorms. Disruptions are ongoing in parts of central Turkey after heavy rains in recent days triggered flooding in the region. Further downpours will likely worsen the situation in areas where the ground is saturated from previous rains and hamper ongoing recovery efforts.

As of June 14, the Turkish State Meteorological Service has issued the following weather warnings in the affected area:

  • Orange thunderstorm warnings (intermediate level on a three-level scale): Provinces of Adana, Hatay, Kahramanmaras and Osimaniye.

  • Yellow storm warnings: Aksaray, Amasya, Ankara, Antalya, Artvin, Bayburt, Bilecik, Bingol, Bolu, Bursa, Corum, Elazig, Erzincan, Erzurum, Eskisehir, Giresun, Gumushane, Hatay, Karaman, Kayseri, Kirsehir, Konya, Malatya, Mersin, Nevsehir, Provinces of Nigde, Ordu, Rize, Samsun, Sivas, Tokat, Trabzon, Tunceli and Yozgat.

Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/cancel existing advisories as weather conditions change over the next few days.

Authorities reported four deaths in Ankara province and one in Karaman province after heavy rains on June 11 and 12 triggered flooding and disruption in parts of central Turkey. The heavy rains were accompanied by strong winds, which damaged houses and uprooted trees in parts of the affected region. Many roads in the region have been inundated by floodwaters, including in the capital Ankara, leading to widespread transport disruptions. As of June 13, several villages in Kastamonu province remained isolated after landslides caused by torrential rains blocked roads. Schools were closed in Ankara and Gemerek on June 13 due to disruption caused by flooding and new unfavorable weather forecasts.

Dangerous conditions
Sustained heavy rains could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily submerged stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream of large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rains have saturated the ground.

Authorities could issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities in the coming days. Disruptions to electrical and telecommunications services are possible when major floods or landslides affect utility networks.

Transportation
Floodwaters and debris flows can render some bridges, railroads or roads impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Puddling of road surfaces could lead to hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities may temporarily close some low roads that are inundated by floodwaters.

Bad weather could also lead to flight delays and cancellations at airports in the affected region. If strong winds trigger dangerous sea conditions, authorities can temporarily suspend port operations or close waterfronts along the Black Sea coast. Floods could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are likely in areas that experience heavy rain and possible track flooding.

Localized business interruptions may occur in low areas; some businesses may not be operating at full capacity due to facility damage from flooding, possible evacuations and the inability of some employees to get to job sites.

Tips

Monitor local media for weather updates and advisories. Confirm all transportation reservations and business arrangements before traveling to the affected area. Obtain up-to-date information on road conditions before driving or routing expeditions in areas where extreme weather conditions are expected; plan for possible supply chain disruptions in affected areas. Stay away from high streams, creeks and other waterways prone to flash flooding. Do not attempt to navigate flooded roads. Use caution on high ground due to the threat of landslides and mountainous areas where avalanches pose a threat. Charge battery-powered devices during extended power outages.

Resources

Turkish State Meteorological Service

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